Boao Forum for Asia Asian Economic Outlook and Integration Progress Annual Report 2025（《博鰲亞洲論壇亞洲經濟前景及一體化進程2025年度報告》）是2025年博鰲亞洲論壇年度報告之一。2024年，在全球經濟放緩的背景下，亞洲是一大亮點。盡管全球需求減弱，但強大的經濟韌性和活力使亞洲整體呈現復蘇態勢。發展中的亞洲是全球的中堅力量，中國經濟的反彈給亞洲和全球傳遞了積極信號。本報告分三篇來展開，共有八章。第一篇為亞洲經濟前景及政策，第二篇為亞洲經濟一體化進程，第三篇為亞洲經濟熱點議題。本報告內容涵蓋：亞洲經濟前景、亞洲主要經濟體經濟政策展望、全球經濟治理進入“亞洲時刻”、亞洲經濟體貨物貿易一體化進程、亞洲經濟體服務貿易一體化進程、亞洲經濟體直接投資融合度、亞洲經濟體金融融合與發展進程和亞洲經濟熱點議題。
FOREWORD
PREPARATION NOTES AND ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
LIST OF CONTRIBUTORS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
ACRONYMS
Part I Asian Economic Outlook and Policies
Chapter 1 Asian Economic Prospects
1.1 Overview
1.2 Economic Growth
1.3 Employment and Income Prospects
1.4 Inflation
1.5 Trade and Investment
1.6 Financial Markets
Chapter 2 Economic Policy Outlook for Major Asian Economies
2.1 External Macro Policies
2.2 Fiscal Policies
2.3 Monetary Policies
Part II Asian Economic Integration Progress
Chapter 3 Merchandise Trade Integration in Asia
3.1 Asian Economies Maintain Strong Reliance on Intra-Asia Merchandise Trade
3.2 Integration of Factory Asia
Chapter 4 Service Trade Integration of Asian Economies
4.1 Service Trade in Asian Economies
4.2 The Current State of Digital Trade Development in Asia
4.3 Key Service Industry Analysis (Tourism as Example)
Chapter 5 Asian Economic Integration in Terms of Direct Investment
5.1 The Status of Asian Economic Integration in Terms of Direct Investment
5.2 Cross-Border Investment Outlook for Asia
Chapter 6 Financial Cohesive Progress in Asia
6.1 Portfolio Investment of Global and Asian Economies
6.2 Current Landscape of Global and Asian Cross-Border Banking
Part III RCEP: Shaping the New Future for Asia’s Economy
Chapter 7 RCEP: Shaping the New Future for Asia’s Economy
7.1 RCEP: Demonstrating the Determination and Ability of Open Cooperation
7.2 RCEP: An Important Force Promoting Regional Economic Integration
7.3 RCEP: Key Challenges in Comprehensive Implementation
7.4 RCEP: Jointly Building the High-Level Largest Free Trade Area